Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.185812 0.213603 0.245259 0.284223 0.331217 0.386480 0.456992
2025-06-08 0.140017 0.174720 0.218616 0.279196 0.362214 0.474407 0.641817
2025-06-15 0.117377 0.155643 0.208031 0.287136 0.407525 0.590941 0.906682
2025-06-22 0.098663 0.136761 0.192072 0.281539 0.429478 0.678271 1.163087
2025-06-29 0.087144 0.125426 0.183876 0.284324 0.463397 0.793809 1.521168
2025-07-06 0.077092 0.114372 0.173678 0.280864 0.484615 0.892553 1.897228
2025-07-13 0.070716 0.107957 0.169562 0.286485 0.523378 1.039032 2.470883
2025-07-20 0.065617 0.102798 0.166539 0.293143 0.565677 1.209535 3.231272
2025-07-27 0.061211 0.098157 0.163585 0.299114 0.608039 1.398319 4.210520
2025-08-03 0.057699 0.094587 0.161958 0.307297 0.657822 1.630001 5.582641
2025-08-10 0.054010 0.090229 0.158169 0.310048 0.695313 1.846277 7.167913
2025-08-17 0.050620 0.086025 0.154074 0.311279 0.729417 2.071363 9.137324
2025-08-24 0.047208 0.081493 0.148880 0.309397 0.755950 2.292377 11.528181
2025-08-31 0.043858 0.076756 0.142705 0.304145 0.771888 2.488463 14.225228
2025-09-07 0.042056 0.074866 0.142278 0.313078 0.834421 2.917444 19.957971
2025-09-14 0.039252 0.070692 0.136390 0.306870 0.846720 3.140560 24.671115
2025-09-21 0.037407 0.068298 0.134150 0.309979 0.892128 3.562180 33.589363
2025-09-28 0.035259 0.065079 0.129668 0.306128 0.912008 3.874504 43.000879
2025-10-05 0.033950 0.063506 0.128802 0.312389 0.972520 4.480970 62.460069
2025-10-12 0.032804 0.062177 0.128345 0.319808 1.041347 5.226442 94.506151
2025-10-19 0.031693 0.060821 0.127662 0.326466 1.110699 6.076764 146.394416
2025-10-26 0.030780 0.059822 0.127743 0.335595 1.195967 7.190446 245.029889
2025-11-02 0.029628 0.058187 0.126034 0.338666 1.255565 8.202138 392.523632